I definitely don't feel that I know much about China. I have been
here 5 weeks, I don't speak the language and I was in fairly touristy
places and only barely in the countryside. But I have a few comments
anyway, just take them with a grain of salt.
I had a great time here. I found the locals friendly and helpful.
Whenever you greet someone with a Ni Hao, with a smile or with a nod,
they reciprocate. I think its genuine. They almost all seem very hard
working. Most of them did not want to cheat you, although some will
routinely overcharge westerners (although in Shanghai, beware). Things were pretty effecient here. Buses and planes left ontime. I found it pretty easy to travel here despite a complete inability to communicate.
It
definitely was weird for me being the only Caucasian in many places. In
the US, we are such a melting pot that no one stands out. In California
and Texas (and a few other states) whites make up under 50% of the
population. In California and Hawaii especially there are large numbers
of Asians. There are neighborhoods in LA that many people only speak
Chinese.
There is something truely remarkable about a culture that survived
for thousands of years. Twice china was conquered by foreign powers,
and both times the foreigners adopted chinese culture. Amazing. Perhaps they liked the food. :)
Language was a major difficulty here. In addition to the
characters being totally incomprehensible, the 4 tone system is pretty
tricky, and the words do not transliterate well into english. (and the
english and chinese names for places, have no relationship to each
other whatsoever). For some reason, the great breakthrough of an
alphabet eluded the chinese. Maybe they don't think it was a
breakthrough, but I doubt it.
Furthermore, for whatever reason, the Chinese do not seem to be
very good at charades. In most of the world, you can act out what you
want, the people will understand, but here they almost never
understand. I have a theory about this, which I will get back to.
Ordering food was especially difficult for me do to me being a
vegetarian, since if I did not order an item from the menu (or multiple
items), the waiters just looked paralyzed , and will not serve you
anything until you tell them something specific. It seems like
initiative is completely lacking here. I suspect that people do not
want to make a mistake, so would rather do nothing. (So perhaps they do
understand the charades, but are unwilling to officially guess what it
means, because they don't want to be wrong). Any Chinese speakers want
to comment? I am probably wrong, but I am willing to make a guess...
As I have mentioned before all the men smoke (sometimes they offer
me a cigarette, I hope I am not offending them by declining). The
driving is terrible, and like Israel and to a lessor extent Italy, but unlike everyplace else I
know, the Chinese do not believe in waiting in line, and will cut in
front of you, or grab a taxi when you were getting into it. I wonder if
they at least will let old folks go first, but even that doesn't seem
to be true. Also, unlike the west, everyone spits on the street. They
didn't really bother me, but its worth noting.
As to economics, this is an interesting time here in china. The
growth rate has been phenomenal (over 10% a year for quite a long
time), and some people are getting quite rich. I have seen porsche's
and maserati's. And yet its still a pretty inexpensive country, and
most of the country is fairly poor. I think this country is setting its
self up for some trouble if it does not solve the income inequality
problem. There really are 3 classes here. A wealthy urban class. A
working poor in the cities. And the poor farmers who average about $600
a year in earnings. Housing in the cities cost more than in the cheap
US cities (Beijing for instance is 50% more expensive for housing than
Houston is, although very good deals on apartment rentals can be found
), and that is well beyond the reach of most citizens (while some own
multiple houses in all the nice places). How is the cab driver who gets
$2 for a 30 minute ride, or the barber who get $1.50 for a 30 minute
haircut ever going to buy a house, or raise there standard of living?
Instead they watch part of the population get wealthy as they get left
behind (this really is more extreme than in the US, where it is also a problem, because the poor in america are much wealthy than the poor in china. Also, having said that, I do think conditions here are better for
everyone than they were 20 years ago, its just that the improvements
are not distributed very equally. There especially is demand for
housing since many families will not let their daughter marry someone
who doesn't have a house...
The country really is not socialist any any sense as far as I am
concerned. There is almost no guaranteed health care, and education is
only free through elementary school. Maybe that is a deliberate attempt
to have all the different stratas of society occupied, but I think that
those two factors, more than anything else, is what enables people to
reach the fullest potential (education) without the worry of something
really bad happening to them (health care). The price of food, I think,
is kept artificially low. I am not certain about the mechanism, but I
think its by keeping too many farmers (all working inefficiently), to
make too much food. Unlike the US, the farmers don't get a kickback
from the government to offset this.
I do think the Chinese government recognizes many of these
problems. Just recently they made changes to help improve farming (by
giving the farmers the rights to sell their farmering rights to others,
hopefully allowing larger farms to occur, economies of scale to occur
via the use of machinery and specialization of labor). They also made
tax changes to lower the cost of housing, but I do not think that
addresses the fundamental problems.
Microlending, and using homes (which most farmers have) as colateral to buy machinary will help
the farmers, but the fundamental problem is you do not get enough
benefit from a piece of equipment (relative to its cost) if its only
used on a small plot of land (the economy of scale issue). So farmers
sharing equipment, or combining farms, really is a prerequisite for
improving the efficiency of farming.
One of the great modern debates in political theory is the
relationship between personal liberties (political and economic) and
the form of government. It has been argued (most famously by Francis
Fukiyama) that the inevitable form of government is a liberal
democracy. And in particular, democracy, political liberty and economic
liberty (aka free markets) are inevitably linked. Well I have never
been so sure. The Chinese model is a highly centralized government
which allows for great coordination of individual behavior (solving
some of the classic market failures), few political liberties, but a
great deal of economic liberty. This is almost more like a corporation
than a government. I think this works pretty well as long as
a. the government truely is bevevelent, acting in the best interests of the country, without too much corruption
b. the government can maintain legitimacy among the part of the population that does not benefit from its policies
A Government's main function is the police power: to protect the
"health, safety and welfare of the people." Yet, there is no "the
people "out there since different people have different needs. So
inevitably, governments must adjudicate between competing interests,
and the losers must be satisfied that the decision was at least done
fairly. Democracies solve this problem by letting the people vote for
officials, and thus makes the implicit argument that majority opinion
can be used as a proxy for fair (since what the hell does fair really
mean). Here, a central unelected government makes the decisions. But as
long as the people defer to there decisions as being wise, or at least
as taking all factors into account, then the losers, if they are not
starving, seem to be happy enough.
In western thought, Plato (who leaned toward benevolent
dictatorships) and Aristotle (who had much more faith in the people)
provide competing underlying schools of thought. The Confucian
tradition here in the east has many similarities to Platonism in my
opinion, but there was no eastern version of Aristotle. Instead Taoism
and Buddhism are the closest thing to a countervailing tradition, but
their central ideas do not really deal with political organization.
So having said all that, I have no idea what impact these old ideas
still have on thought in modern china. But if they have any impact, its
certainly toward giving a centralized authority, who claims to be
acting for the good of all, a great deal of latitude. And like I said, the poor are better off then they were 20 years ago. Its just that others are really getting rich.
In any case, there certainly have been a great deal of peasant led
rebellions here in china, so there certainly is a breaking point where
the poor are not satisfied. And for most people, that standard is
relative to what they see around them, not absolute. So hopefully, the chinese government will be successful in its attempts to improve the life of all its citizens.
Anyway, time will tell. The chinese economy has been growing
rapidly, and materialism is being felt here. In the past, children
stayed in the town they were born, and cared for there parents when
they got old. Now they move all over the place. Ideas are disseminated
from the internet and many other places, so this is not a closed
society in any sense. The two really rich dynasties in chinese history
(the Tang and Song dynesties) were the societies which most looked
outward for trade and ideas, and this is happening again. So now that
the economic genie was let out of the bottle, the question is what else
will come out as well.